Sacramento Forecast Project	Yolo/Colusa CEA Economic Forecast	California State University, Sacramento
	revised January, 2008
Unemployment | Fountain Predictor | Taxable Sales | Data Tables | Resources | SFP Page

Number of Persons Employed

The number of persons employed increased 0.9% (800 persons) in 2007. The forecast for 2008, based on actual data through December, is for a slower 0.3% (300 person) increase.

Unemployment

The annual average Unemployment Rate for the CEA increased in 2007, to 6.5%, up from the 5.9% in 2006. The forecast for the annual Unemployment Rate in 2008, based on actual data through December, is another increase to 6.8%.

Fountain Predictor
The Predictor for the Yolo/Colusa CEA is following a pettern similar to the rest of the Sacramento Region, negative since May with a generally increasing negative pattern each month.
The Fountain Predictor was named for Robert J. Fountain (Professor Emeritus, California State University, Sacramento) who suggested graphically comparing the twelve month percentage change in the Number of Persons Employed with the twelve month percentage change in the Civilian Labor Force as a measure of the economic health of an area.	The theory suggests that as long as the percentage change in the Number of Persons Employed is larger than (above) the percentage change in the Civilian Labor Force, for that area, that area is in good economic health.

Taxable Sales

Taxable Sales in the Yolo/Colusa CEA continued the rebound from the 2002 low in 2006, with a 3.8% increase. The forecast for 2007, based on actual data through the 4th quarter of 2006, is for a slower 2.8% increase, followed by a 0.8% increase in 2008.

Data Tables

The Sacramento Forecast Project maintains files for these variables and the supporting variables for Yolo/Colusa CEA, in Excel format, that can be made available on request.

Resources

Yolo/Colusa CEA has several useful and informative locations on the Internet: Colusa County Colusa County Economic Development Office. The Appeal-Democrat.com covers Colusa, Sutter and Yuba Counties. Yolo County County of Yolo University of California, Davis The Davis Enterprise Data Providers: California Department of Finance California Employment Development Department, Labor Market Information Division California State Board of Equalization

Back to Sacramento Forecast Project Update: January, 2008 Next Revision: July, 2008 URL: http://www.csus.edu/indiv/j/jensena/sfp/sa11/yol2/yolo-cea.htm Arthur N. Jensen, Emeritus Professor of Marketing e-mail to: jensena@csus.edu College of Business Administration California State University, Sacramento Disclaimer: Professor Arthur N. Jensen takes full responsibility for the information posted. The information on this page represents that of Professor Arthur N. Jensen and not that of California State University, Sacramento. [as required in PM BA 96-13 Policy on CSUSInfo World Wide Web]