Sacramento Forecast Project	Yuba County Economic Forecast	California State University, Sacramento
	revised January, 2008
Unemployment | Fountain Predictor | Taxable Sales | Data Tables | Resources | SFP Page

Number of Persons Employed

The number of persons employed (as measured by the Household Survey) in Yuba County increased at a 0.4% (92 persons) rate in 2007, much slower than the 2.2% increase in 2006. The forecast for 2008, based on actual data through December, is for a slightly stronger increase of 1.1% (274 new persons).

Unemployment

The average annual Unemployment Rate for Yuba County in 2007 was 9.5%, up from 8.9% in 2006. The forecast for 2008, based on actual data through December, is for a similar average annual rate of 9.6%.

Fountain Predictor
1/21/08:    The Predictor has bounced around the zero line in a "saw-tooth" pattern for the last 24 months, ending with the start of the most recent negative pattern in May. The rest of 2007 was negative wth the largest negative coming in Decemberr with a -2.342% (Labor Force increased 1.5% while the number of persons employed declined -0.83%).
The Fountain Predictor was named for Robert J. Fountain (Professor Emeritus, California State University, Sacramento) who suggested graphically comparing the twelve month percentage change in the Number of Persons Employed with the twelve month percentage change in the Civilian Labor Force as a measure of the economic health of an area.	The theory suggests that as long as the percentage change in the Number of Persons Employed is larger than (above) the percentage change in the Civilian Labor Force, for that area, that area is in good economic health.

Taxable Sales

Taxable Sales from all Outlets in Yuba County declined in 2006, a 2.1% decline to $557.9 million. The forecast for 2007, based on actual data through the 4th quarter of 2006, is for an improvement, an increase of of 0.5% ($2.5 million). The forecast for 2008 is a continued rebound of 1.6%.

Data Tables

The Sacramento Forecast Project maintains files for these variables and the supporting variables for Yuba County, in Excel format, that can be made available on request.

Resources

For information about Yuba County and its major city, try: Yuba County Marysville The Appeal-Democrat.com covers Colusa, Sutter and Yuba Counties. The State of California maintains: County Snapshot of Yuba County from Employment Development Department. County Profiles from the Department of Finance. Data Providers: California Department of Finance California Employment Development Department, Labor Market Information Division California State Board of Equalization

Back to Sacramento Forecast Project Update: January, 2008 Next Revision: July, 2008 URL: http://www.csus.edu/indiv/j/jensena/sfp/sa11/yub2/yub/yuba.htm Arthur N. Jensen, Emeritus Professor of Marketing e-mail to: jensena@csus.edu College of Business Administration California State University, Sacramento Disclaimer: Professor Arthur N. Jensen takes full responsibility for the information posted. The information on this page represents that of Professor Arthur N. Jensen and not that of California State University, Sacramento. [as required in PM BA 96-13 Policy on CSUSInfo World Wide Web]